-- Posted Thursday, 15 November 2012 | | Source: GoldSeek.com
By Toby Connor, GoldScents
I'm
just going to do a quick post today. The relevant factors are that gold
appears to have put in an intermediate degree bottom last week. Miners
are being dragged down at the moment as the stock market makes its final
move into an intermediate bottom. This happens pretty much like
clockwork every 20-25 weeks (currently on week 23).
Invariably
when stocks move down into one of these major cycle bottoms the selling
pressure infects everything. It finally grabbed the miners today even
though gold has barely budged. Not to worry though, as we've seen this
happen dozens of times in the past and the miners always snap back
violently once the selling pressure in the stock market exhausts.
More importantly than where things are going tomorrow or the next day is where they are headed over the next intermediate cycle. As I have diagrammed in the chart below the dollar is due for a move down into a yearly cycle low around mid-February or early March - roughly the same time as last year. This will drive the next intermediate rally in gold (and stocks) for about the next 12-15 weeks.
More importantly than where things are going tomorrow or the next day is where they are headed over the next intermediate cycle. As I have diagrammed in the chart below the dollar is due for a move down into a yearly cycle low around mid-February or early March - roughly the same time as last year. This will drive the next intermediate rally in gold (and stocks) for about the next 12-15 weeks.
I'll
say it again. Buying anywhere around these levels will deliver big
gains over the next 3-4 months. More likely than not the largest gains
will come from the mining sector, but certainly significant gains will
occur in virtually all stock market sectors.
This is that period
of time that comes only once or twice a year when the chartists get
fleeced (the charts always say the market is going lower at intermediate
bottoms. This is why chartists always miss these major bottoms. You
need different tools to spot these kind of buying opportunities) as the
smart money positions for the next leg up.
The choice is yours.
Do you want to sell at the bottom again, or will you be a buyer this
time and make some money? (I think big money).
Toby Connor, GoldScents
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